Global

    • Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has approved direct negotiations with Lebanon hosted by the US State Department in Washington, focused on disarming Hezbollah, following US pressure. Israel continues its strikes on Lebanon despite the fragile ceasefire with Iran, which has killed hundreds and prompted international backlash. Dozens of countries have jointly condemned attacks on UN peacekeepers in Lebanon as unacceptable, while EU members including Spain urge suspension of the 1995 cooperation treaty with Israel over the strikes. It appears the whole world wants peace and the thing in the way seems to be Israel's ambitions in Lebanon. Hopefully this is enough alignment and coordinated pressure to cause Israel to stop the attacks.

    • Ecuador is raising tariffs on Colombian imports from 50% to 100% effective May 1 to pressure its neighbor over failures in border security and drug trafficking control. The move follows the recall of Ecuador’s ambassador from Colombia after President Petro’s comments labeling politician Jorge Glas a political prisoner, plus disputes over energy sales and border incidents. Colombia has responded with retaliatory tariffs and suspended electricity exports to Ecuador amid the escalating diplomatic feud. This tension will likely stay economic, which is not great for the people of these respective nations but at least will hopefully keep warfare at bay.

    • Greece will ban social media access for children under 15 starting January 2027 to combat anxiety, sleep problems, and the addictive design of platforms. Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis called the restriction difficult but necessary after hearing from parents about exhaustion from constant online pressure and comparisons. The government is pushing for an EU-wide framework with mandatory age verification and regular re-checks to protect youth while preserving technology’s benefits. We routinely cover these efforts to regulate social media and now with many nations taking on these bans we can clearly start to see some trends in how they are going about doing this. It seems like protecting the health of children under the age of around 15 or 16 seems to be the basis of all of these policies.

      National

    • The Federal Aviation Administration faces a severe national shortage of air traffic controllers that lawmakers warn is reducing public safety and risking flight delays. To address thousands of vacancies, the agency is launching YouTube ads targeting gamers for their hand-eye coordination, quick decision-making, and focus skills, offering six-figure salaries under the current administration. The push comes as major facilities operate below staffing targets, relying on overtime that raises fatigue concerns among experts. That's a smart move as the gamers are likely the types of young people that would excel in these types of roles; hopefully, it works!

    • Eligible American men will be automatically registered for the Selective Service System starting December 2026 through integration with federal databases, eliminating the need for individual action. The change, included in the 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, aims to save resources and improve mobilization readiness, with written notices provided and exemptions available. It has stirred concerns about military recruitment tactics, though no draft is currently active and penalties for non-compliance remain in place. While the headline feels alarming, I think it's worth noting that registration was already mandatory; it's just being automated. Nonetheless, with all of this military activity it's not surprising that this move sparked widespread concern about the return of a draft.

    • A federal judge has ruled the Pentagon violated a court order with its restrictive press policy and voided the latest changes, requiring restoration of credentials to reporters including seven from The New York Times. The decision rejects requirements for escorted access and limits on disclosures while criticizing attempts to control critical information. This occurs as the White House warns staff against engaging with prediction markets amid ongoing defense department transparency disputes. The answer here in our opinion is simple, open the doors, let the press in and give them access to anything that's not highly classified.

Local

(The West)

    • xAI has filed a federal lawsuit in Colorado challenging the state’s first comprehensive AI law, which requires systems to prevent algorithmic discrimination in employment, housing, healthcare, education, and financial services. The company argues the regulations unconstitutionally burden AI innovation and infringe on First Amendment rights by compelling specific viewpoints on issues like racial justice. xAI is seeking an injunction to block enforcement of the law, set to take effect in June. Colorado's framework, though it may have good intentions, creates the type of legal environment which opens AI companies to constant legal threats. This simply won't work.

    • A coalition of individuals and business groups has sued in Klickitat County Superior Court to strike down Washington’s newly signed 9.9% tax on annual income over $1 million, effective 2028. Challengers argue the tax violates the state constitution’s uniformity requirements and exceeds limits on property-like taxes, citing long-standing court precedents treating income as property. The legislation, signed by Governor Bob Ferguson, has prompted disbelief among wealthy clients and financial advisors over its potential economic effects. The rising demand for wealth redistribution through increased taxes is fascinating but it does appear that this is going to be hard to justify given the state's constitution calls for a uniformity in taxation.

    • Governor Tina Kotek signed eight bills on April 9 that expand protections for immigrants, limiting law enforcement cooperation, restricting data sharing with federal authorities, and safeguarding access to schools, hospitals, and public services. Key measures include policies for responding to immigration agents on school campuses, barring immigration status as evidence in civil cases, and requiring clear identification for officers. The package reinforces Oregon’s sanctuary state policies amid federal crackdowns, with most provisions taking effect in June. We get nervous when states codify things that are going to cause this type of disjuncture between their policies and what the demands of the federal government are. But at least the governor is bringing clarity and order to a situation that urgently needs it.

    • Early results from Anchorage’s election show voters narrowly rejecting a $12 million property tax levy for teacher positions and a capital bond for school upgrades and construction. The outcomes leave the school district facing planned budget cuts, potential closures, and larger class sizes as additional ballots are still being counted. Officials note the measures were critical for maintaining classroom staffing and facility improvements, with final certification expected later this month. So many school districts are wrestling with fiscal crisis and clearly we have to aggressively rethink what public education is going to look like in the United States.

Market Watch

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?
Yes 4% · No 96%
View full market & trade on Polymarket
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Yes 13% · No 87%
View full market & trade on Polymarket
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Yes 31% · No 69%
View full market & trade on Polymarket

“It’s used to be stay safe now it’s, stay dangerous” - Nipsey Hussle

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